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More evidence that Android tablets will dominate Apple’s iPad

Discussion in 'Droid Forums Member News Depot' started by WoZzY, Jul 27, 2011.

  1. WoZzY
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    WoZzY The GRD Dev Team Premium Member Developer

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    More evidence that Android tablets will dominate Apple’s iPad

    [​IMG]
    The iPad has enjoyed market share domination since its inception, but it is only a matter of time until Android tablets takeover. The question is when? I have gone on record as saying it will happen by March of 2012, and recent reports (one and two) show that Android already owns at least 30% of the market through the 1st quarter of 2011.
    Now Informa Telecoms & Media is predicting that Android will take a little longer by closing the gap in 2015, and eventually taking the lead in 2016. Informa Telecoms & Media is the leading provider of business intelligence and strategic services to the global telecoms and media markets.
    They are projecting the market to grow to over 230 million in 2015 with Android selling around 87 million and Apple selling around 90 million.

    David McQueen, principal analyst at Informa Telecoms & Media said, “We expect Apple to retain its leading market share until 2015 but only just. From 2013, as cheaper and more advanced Android tablets enter the market, we forecast that sales will pick up considerably, eventually surpassing iPad sales in 2016.”
    “Three factors have proven to be decisive in the success and failure of tablets: brand; access to distribution channels; and product quality, including the application environment offered. At the moment, the iPad leads in all three areas but Apple’s edge is likely to wane as the quality of the competing products and application environments improves,” adds McQueen.
    I agree with McQueen except for the time frame. I can’t see it taking this long.
    Full press release
    Android Tablets to close the gap on iPad in 2015

    By David McQueen July 27, 2011
    Tablet market to grow to over 230 million in 2015 from under 20 million in 2010
    According to the latestforecasts from Informa Telecoms & Media, Android tablet sales will be neck and neck with the iPad in 2015 with 87 million and 90 million unit sales, respectively. Although Apple has dominated this space since the launch of the iPad in 2010, this is set to change with the introduction of low-cost Android tablets, the wider launch of Android 3.0 (Honeycomb) and the possibility of other major brands such as Amazon launching tablets on the OS.
    “We have seen a huge explosion in the tablet market in recent years, driven primarily by the iPad, and we estimate that the market will go from strength to strength, growing from under 20 million tablets sold in 2010, to over 230 million in 2015,” comments David McQueen, principal analyst at Informa Telecoms & Media. “We expect Apple to retain its leading market share until 2015 but only just. From 2013, as cheaper and more advanced Android tablets enter the market, we forecast that sales will pick up considerably, eventually surpassing iPad sales in 2016.”
    Apple currently has 75% of the market but this will drop to just 39% in 2015. Meanwhile Android will see a huge increase in its market share, as the devices and the ecosystem around the platform improve. By 2015, it will have 38% market share, putting it on a par with the iPad.
    “Three factors have proven to be decisive in the success and failure of tablets: brand; access to distribution channels; and product quality, including the application environment offered. At the moment, the iPad leads in all three areas but Apple’s edge is likely to wane as the quality of the competing products and application environments improves,” adds McQueen.
    It is anticipated that, once Windows 8.0 is launched, there will be avariety of tablets available in the market based on Intel and ARM architecture. These are mostlikely to include a Nokia device as well as a number from the traditional PC vendors.
    RIM’s PlayBook is expected to show only modest growth early on following its launch as some mobile operators have shown to be reticent to carry the device as they are struggling with the business model owing to it initially being Wi-Fi only. However, volumes will be buoyed by the inclusion of Android apps on the device and the introduction of cellular connectivity (HSPA+ and LTE versions are expected before end-2011).
    “Most mobile operators are expected to focus on supporting iOS and Android tablets in line with demand, and their current indifferent support for Windows, BlackBerry OS (QnX), WebOS and MeeGo tablets will prove decisive in shaping consumers’ purchasing decisions in the short term. However, it is those devices that can also dominate the consumer-electronics sector and online retail channels as well as nurture their current partnerships with the mobile operators that will win out,” concludes McQueen.
    About Informa Telecoms & Media
    Informa Telecoms & Media is the leading provider of business intelligence and strategic services to the global telecoms and media markets. Our aim is to provide actionable, strategic advice and forecasting on all aspects of the music, mobile and fixed, entertainment markets.
    © Informa UK Ltd 2011. All rights reserved.
    [via informatandm]


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