Android: The new king of the mobile castle

Discussion in 'Android News' started by This Green Machine, Oct 23, 2010.

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  1. This Green Machine
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    This Green Machine DF News Team Premium Member

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    (This is a guest post by Dave D. from ThisGreenMachine.com. The original article can be found at this link.)

    Welcome to musical chairs for the mobile world, where Android is closed, Windows is open, and Steve Jobs is just plain crazy. Each new day seems to reinforce the volatile state of the industry. Glancing back over the past decade paints a dramatic story of changing consumer tastes, flashes of brilliance, and how the current king of the mountain can become Humpty Dumpty the very next day.

    The Times, they are A-Changing
    It’s strange imagining a world with no iPhone. For some, it’s the only thing they’ve ever known; the New York Times even ran a recent article[1] on how toddlers are now choosing iPhones over traditional toys. It is arguably the most well known single line of tech gadgets today. The fact that Apple has risen to its current level of dominance since the iPhone’s initial release in late 2007 is a testament to Steve Jobs’s incredible vision and execution. But, as displayed in Apple’s latest quarterly earnings call, all might not be well in the House of Jobs. Steve, who almost never speaks on the calls, made a surprise guest appearance. You could almost hear Jobs fidgeting with his crown and scepter as he spent more time lamenting the woes of competitors[2] than the success of iOS. It became almost comical with plenty of “Did he really just say that!?” moments. It appears that Apple is finally acknowledging Android as a real threat.

    History Repeats Itself
    The cycle of dominance from platform to platform is nothing new. It may be hard to remember, but at one time (2004) Palm held over 50% of the smartphone market in North America, with Symbian coming in second at 30%, for a combined market share of 80%[3]. Just two years later the market was already vastly different: Palm’s market share had plummeted by over half to 20% and Symbian’s to just 10%. In their place Microsoft and RIM were at the forefront with Windows Mobile and BlackBerry devices. Of course, since late 2007 when Apple released iPhone, they have been gaining momentum and market share into 2010. While it may be true that Apple never obtained the top spot in outright US market share during this time from RIM, it would be naïve to believe the iPhone wasn’t the best and most popular smartphone at the time.

    The Rise of the Robots
    As history has shown, the crown seems to pass from head to head every two to three years. With Apple’s time coming to an end, an unlikely candidate is taking their place. With the release of the Motorola Droid in November of 2009, Android began to emerge as a major player in the mobile universe. Once considered a platform for the nerds, Android has evolved into a full featured mobile operating system adopted by the masses. In an impressive vote of confidence, technology research firm Gartner not only projected Android to reach the top in North America by the end of 2010, but also at the top globally by 2014[4], a feat no one has been able to achieve since Symbian took the top global spot years ago.

    The Line of Succession
    The dominance of Android no longer remains a question[5]. Much to the chagrin of Steve Jobs, Android is here to stay. Purchasing an Android phone is no longer a vote for the underdog, but the result of Android’s mass appeal. The real question is who will take the crown next? The only viable threat comes in the form of Microsoft’s newly reinvented Windows Phone 7. While historically no one has come back from past dominance, the complete refresh could be considered an entirely new OS. Only time will tell whether Android can truly stabilize the North American market and control the top for many years to come. I firmly believe the open source nature of Android could finally buck the trend. The key to survival is fast evolution, something not unfamiliar to Android. If anyone can do it, you better believe it’s Google.

    References: [1] New York Times, [2] Wall St Journal, [3] Mobile Thoughts Blog, [4] Gartner, [5] Wall St Journal
  2. DroidMastar2
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    DroidMastar2 New Member

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    I love android... but just to be fair... The only reason IPhone(iOS phones) isn't @ the top is baaaad marketing. Ifit was available on all networks... If IPhone was offered by Sprint, Verizon, Tmobile... etc as Android, RIM, and Palm phones are. The world would be a dark dark place... run by that *mod edit for inappropriate language* Steve.
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 23, 2010
  3. ladodger1717
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    ladodger1717 New Member

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    I agree with you on this one. Who knows if Android would of done as well as they have if Apple was on every network. Would this many people give it a chance if they had an iPhone. But they messed up and Android is a great OS. I now have no interest in the iPhone because I love Android. Thank you Apple, for not allowing me to get the iPhone on Verizon. I have moved on towards a better OS.
    Last edited by a moderator: Oct 23, 2010
  4. huskerkate
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    huskerkate Premium Member Premium Member

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    this is a family friendly forum - please do not use profanity. thanks!
  5. BayouFlyFisher
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    BayouFlyFisher Rescue Squad Rescue Squad

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    You are absolutely correct about this and no exceptions should be made, but he is. :icon_ banana:
  6. huskerkate
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    huskerkate Premium Member Premium Member

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    No matter how much I may agree with the sentiment, gotta keep it clean. :)
  7. DroidMastar2
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    DroidMastar2 New Member

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    My apologies...
  8. huskerkate
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    huskerkate Premium Member Premium Member

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    Jobs tends to bring it out of people... ;)
  9. Big Ry
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    Big Ry New Member

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    But how ever would apple find the time for such a thing!? They're scrambling to develop 1 OS that runs on 1 device on 1 network in only a 1 year time frame! That's incredible productivity!!!
  10. ladodger1717
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    ladodger1717 New Member

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    haha, good stuff.
  11. TuBitMittens
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    TuBitMittens Member

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    all hail the mighty robot:greendroid::greendroid:
  12. czerdrill
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    czerdrill New Member

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    considering its outsold android and will set record sales numbers if it comes to verizon, somehow i doubt steve jobs is losing sleep...
  13. kodiak799
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    kodiak799 Well-Known Member

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    I think people are grossly overestimating how many people are out there holding out for a smartphone until if and when IPhone comes to VZW.

    I don't think there are going to be droves switching from Android, either. 80%+ of those IPhone sales I will bet will be AT&T customers switching to VW.

    Now, if VZW offers a 200meg tier for $15 a month, that may entice some new smartphone buyers, but IPhone and Android share of those new buyers will be closer than people think. People under Apple's spell already have an IPhone, for the most part. Apple doesn't have the mind control over people who haven't even gotten a smartphone yet.

    Personally, I think if there are Android LTE phones available while IPhone is pushing a 3G model it will get crushed.
  14. czerdrill
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    czerdrill New Member

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    you might be grossly underestimating how many people "settled" for android because they didn't want to leave verizon. you're absolutely right, 80% (probably more) will be At&t customers making the switch, but the current VZW customers who switch to the iphone wont be something to laugh at either. Android is not going to get crushed by a VZW iphone, but its definitely going to take a hit.

    why? cuz the iphone is simple and it just works out of the box, is user friendly and everyone and their mother has heard of it and thinks its God's gift to smartphones. marketing works, believe it or not. the millions that apple spends on advertising are what make the iphone the phone that most people want

    i'm sticking with android but i'm pretty sure i'm in the minority...who knows, we'll see.
  15. kodiak799
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    kodiak799 Well-Known Member

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    So does Android. You may also be underestimating people who plan to switch from AT&T who get a look at the superior specs of the Android phones, especially if LTE is a factor.

    I also think some people might switch, or might want to, but when push comes to shove and they think about the cost (for apps) and time to learn and set-up a new phone it just ain't going to happen. Will be lots of "switchers remorse" when people say "darn, I REALLY liked those widgets".

    Also, don't discount the impact of the newer Android phones going to AT&T. I think net-net there's not going to be a significant shift in share and growth between the two. The people most easily influenced by Apple's marketing have long ago bought IPhones...It's not like people are buying MAC's in droves. The "status symbol" doesn't apply to these people enough to have gotten an IPhone already, much less even a smartphone. Those people are more likely to compare specs and functionality because they buy for need, not status, and I think Android has an edge there.
  16. czerdrill
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    czerdrill New Member

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    i love my D1, but it hardly just "works" out of the box. i can't imagine going back to stock processor speed after i've overclocked. and even with the overclock there's still residual lag. same with EVERY android device out there regardless of its processor. None have the fluidity and simplicity that the iPhone has and that's what makes the iPhone such a coveted product.

    i dont know...the people i know dont know much about specs and features...they're the average consumer...they go with the marketing (that doesn't make them dumb it makes them human).

    i don't know anyone who says "Can't wait for LTE to get here!!" or "Isn't it great we can root our droids??!" Not saying there's not alot of people like that out there, but the average consumer doesnt care about such things, and probably doesn't even know about such things.

    what they do know is the cool apple commercials with a catchy tune and the "there's an app for that" crap...it is what it is. the iphone (and ipod) don't sell because of its specs, it sells because of how its marketed as the "it" phone.

    i know so many people who have droids (and love them) who still say they're switching if vzw ever gets an iphone. i dont know anyone (except myself) whos staying with android regardless of whether iphone comes to VZW or not.

    again, the average consumer (average in the sense of tech "knowledge") is the majority of the consumers. they don't care about processors, and widgets and open source, and custom ROMs. They care about "we have 300,000 apps in our app store!" and "i can integrate with iTunes!!"...believe me.
  17. kodiak799
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    kodiak799 Well-Known Member

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    When people go into a VZW store, and they think, "hmm, I like the IPhone" and the rep tells them "well, this Android is LTE which is 5-10X faster" that makes a difference. Most people aren't like the airhead in that cartoon. If this wasn't the case, then PC's wouldn't still outsell Mac's by about 10 to 1.

    I didn't have any problems with my Droid out of the box, and that's way back at 2.0. The new Android phones running Froyo and soon to be Gingerbread? Please...

    Again, Apple/IPhone marketing is very effective, in about 10% of consumers (the vast majority of whom already have the IPhone). The rest are going to browse in the store and do side-by-side comparisons. LTE will be a big selling point. When both phones do pretty much the same thing but the equivalent set-up IPhone is $100 more it doesn't take a rocket scientist to know what most people will choose.
  18. johnomaz
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    johnomaz Well-Known Member

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    The problem is that iOS isn't doing anythign new. Its the same crap getting regurgitated, adding some 'no big deal' feature in and calling it new.
  19. Dragon3463
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    Dragon3463 New Member

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    Let's see when the Iphone hits verizon, what happens to the dreadful droid phones...
  20. cellphonedork
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    cellphonedork New Member

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    Dragon = iphone fan boy # 1
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